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April, 30 - USD/JPY: Door open to 106.00

While USD declined as expected, it recovered quickly after touching 106.34.

usdjpy30042020

Downward momentum has eased and USD has likely moved into a consolidation phase. From here, USD could edge slightly higher but is expected to stay within a 106.30/107.05 range.

Only a NY closing below 106.70 would indicate that USD is ready to move to 106.00. USD subsequently dropped to 106.54 before ending the day at 106.86. While the NY closing is not as weak as preferred, the price action suggests USD is likely to weaken to 106.00. Only a breach of the ‘strong resistance’ at 107.35 would indicate that our view is wrong.

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