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5 Things to know this morning - 10/11

Here are the top 5 things to know for today’s trading day.

 

1. Global stocks extend rally as 'Trump Jump' continues

U.S. stock markets pointed to sharp gains at the open on Thursday morning, with the blue-chip Dow futures rising 160 points to a fresh all-time high as investors bet newly president-elect Donald Trump will provide a boost to sectors such as healthcare and infrastructure.

Meanwhile, European and U.K. stocks were broadly higher in mid-morning trade, with Germany's DAX rising to the strongest level of the year as traders reassessed the economic impact of Donald Trump's victory in the U.S. presidential election.

Earlier, Asian shares soared, with Japan's Nikkei jumping close to 7% after Donald Trump’s election victory and spending pledges bolstered risk appetite.

 

2. U.S., European government bond yields climb

Government bonds around the world fell sharply on Thursday, with yields rallying to multi-month highs as traders reassessed the implications of a Trump presidency, with many seeing it ushering in higher economic growth and rising inflation.

The U.S. 10-year Treasury note was up 0.4 basis points at 2.068% in early morning trade, close to levels not seen since January.

In Europe, yields on 10-year German Bunds were up by 9.8 basis points to 0.277%, the strongest since May, while those on equivalent maturity U.K. bonds rose 8.4 basis points to 1.344%, approaching the levels last held shortly before the Brexit referendum in June.

Market players have begun to speculate on the shifts in fiscal policy under President Trump, with many forecasting rising inflation on the back of higher government spending.

 

3. December Fed rate hike odds top 80%

Markets believe the Federal Reserve was still on course to raise interest rates next month despite a stunning upset by Republican Donald Trump in the U.S. presidential election.

Odds for a rate hike at the Fed's December 13-14 meeting stood at 81.1%, after falling to as low as 43% a day earlier amid fears over what a Trump win would mean for the U.S. economy.

The dollar was recently up 0.2% against a basket of major currencies at 98.82, just below a two-week high of 98.91 touched overnight.

 

4. Copper soars to highest since July 2015

Copper prices rallied 11.2 cents, or 4.5%, to $2.571 a pound on Thursday, amid expectations that a Donald Trump presidency could unleash a flood of infrastructure spending.

Prices of the red metal rose by as much as 13.2 cents, or 5.1%, earlier to $2.591, a level not seen since July 2015. It gained 7.9 cents, or 3.34%, on Wednesday, after Trump's victory speech included a pledge to spend on rebuilding America's infrastructure.

Copper futures are up almost 22% over the past three weeks as traders bet that the global economy may be gaining momentum after a long period of sluggish growth.

 

5. IEA warns of "relentless" global supply growth if no OPEC cut

The International Energy Agency warned on Thursday that the oil market risks running another surplus in 2017 without an output cut from OPEC.

In its monthly oil market report, the IEA said global supply rose by 800,000 barrels per day in October to 97.8 million bpd, led by record OPEC output and rising production from non-OPEC members such as Russia, Brazil, Canada and Kazakhstan.

The Paris-based organization kept its demand growth forecast for 2016 at 1.2 million bpd and expects consumption to increase at the same pace next year, having gradually slowed from a five-year peak of 1.8 million bpd in 2015.

"This means that 2017 could be another year of relentless global supply growth similar to that seen in 2016," the IEA said.

OPEC reached an agreement to cap output to a range of 32.5 million to 33.0 million barrels per day in talks held in Algeria in late September. However, the 14-member oil group said it won’t finalize details on individual output quotas until its next official meeting in Vienna on November 30.

 

 

 

 

 

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